上财城市与区域科学学院/财经研究所Seminar暨迎百年校庆系列学术报告(2017-2018学年第一学期第十六期)

时间:2017-12-18浏览:62设置

Pattern Changes in Determinants of Chinese Emissions

报告人米志付(英国伦敦大学学院 巴特莱特建设与项目管理学院 研究员)

1226日(星期二)上午10:00-11:30

上海财经大学红瓦楼236会议室

主持人邵帅 研究员


【报告摘要】

Chinese economy has been recovering slowly from the global financial crisis, but it cannot achieve the same rapid development of the pre-recession period. Instead, the country has entered a new phase of economic development – a “new normal”. We use a structural decomposition analysis (SDA) and environmental input-output analysis (IOA) to estimate the determinants of China’s carbon emission changes during 2005-2012. China’s imports are linked to a global multi-regional input-output (MRIO) model based on the Global Trade and Analysis Project (GTAP) database to calculate the embodied CO2 emissions in imports. We find that the global financial crisis has affected the drivers of China’s carbon emissions growth. From 2007 to 2010, the CO2 emissions induced by China’s exports dropped, whereas emissions induced by capital formation grew rapidly. In the “new normal”, the strongest factors that offset CO2 emissions have shifted from efficiency gains to structural upgrading. Efficiency was the strongest factor offsetting China’s CO2 emissions before 2010 but drove a 1.4% increase in emissions in the period 2010-2012. By contrast, production structure and consumption patterns caused a 2.6% and 1.3% decrease, respectively, in China’s carbon emissions from 2010 to 2012. In addition, China tends to shift gradually from an investment to a consumption-driven economy. The proportion of CO2 emissions induced by consumption had a declining trend before 2010 but grew from 28.6% to 29.1% during 2010-2012.


【报告人简介】

米志付,管理学博士,现为英国伦敦大学学院(UCL)巴特莱特建设与项目管理学院终身研究员,2017中国经济学优秀博士论文获得者,SCI期刊《Journal of Cleaner Production》(影响因子5.715)副主编,研究方向为气候变化经济学和能源政策;近五年在《Nature Communications》(影响因子12.124)等期刊发表SCI/SSCI论文20余篇,其中ESI高被引论文4篇、ESI热点论文2篇,一篇论文被SCI期刊《Applied Energy》评为2016年高被引原创论文;多次受邀参加联合国会议(联合国可持续发展大会,巴西,2012;联合国气候变化谈判大会,秘鲁,2014;联合国气候变化谈判大会,摩洛哥,2016)。此外,还担任《Applied Energy》(SCI)、《Mathematics and Computers in Simulation》(SCI)、《Structural Change and Economic Dynamics》(SSCI)等期刊客座编辑。


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